Drone strikes rise to one every four days

July 18th, 2011 | by | Published in Bureau Stories, Covert Drone War, Drone strikes in Pakistan

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Pakistani tribesmen offer funeral prayer -GettyImages

Demonstration against CIA drones in Pakistan, April 22 2011. Photo/Pan-African Newswire.

Nek Mohammad is often described as the first casualty of the US drone campaign inside Pakistan. The local Taliban leader died, along with four other suspected militants, as he ate dinner in a courtyard one hot summer’s night in June 2004. Missiles from a Predator unmanned drone blasted a deep crater where he sat.

The attack, like many of the early drone strikes, was initially claimed as the work of Pakistan’s military. There was no public acknowledgment of the strike by the US authorities. To this day, officially the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) remains silent on who killed Nek Mohammad.

Often missed out of reports is the fact that two children – boys aged 10 and 16 – also died in this first Pakistan drone attack.

Often missed out is the fact that two children of alleged militant Sher Zaman – boys aged 10 and 16 – also died in this first Pakistan drone attack. They represent the first of hundreds of civilian casualties of drones, many of them children.

Get the data: Twenty-five deadly strikes

The steady rise in drone attacks
The CIA’s drones were initially used sparingly by President George W Bush’s administration. That single strike in June 2004 was followed by three more in 2005, and three attacks the following year. Reports suggest the targets were senior Taliban or al Qaeda leaders. Concerns were high about upsetting close ally Pakistan, particularly as civilian deaths continued.

But in mid-2008, spurred on by militant activity against US and NATO forces in Afghanistan, President Bush ordered a sharp escalation in attacks.

Under President Obama, drone strike rates have risen even higher, as once-rare ‘targeted killings’ have become commonplace. The CIA strikes have risen from one a year to an average of one every four days, almost always in the tribal border regions of North and South Waziristan.

Map of Waziristan within Pakistan / Wikimedia Commons

Attempts to ensure some level of accountability from the CIA or US government have so far failed. Recent efforts by the American Civil Liberties Union (ACLU) to force disclosure of civilian casualties in Pakistan abruptly stalled when it was informed by the CIA that it ‘can neither confirm nor deny the existence or nonexistence’ of the programme.

Click here for a full explanation of our methods, and the problems of reporting on drone strikes.

Jonathan Manes, legal fellow at the ACLU, said: ‘As it stands, the public debate on drone strikes is severely hobbled by the government’s failure to provide basic information about the number of innocent civilians killed; the legal criteria that it uses in conducting targeted drone killings; and the internal accountability measures that are in place to ensure that strikes – especially those conducted by the CIA – are in compliance with applicable law.’

Public versus private
Although publicly Islamabad denies it has allowed armed US drones on its territory, rumours persist of secret deals between the two nations. US diplomatic cables obtained by WikiLeaks indicate a gulf between the public and private statements of Pakistan’s present leaders.

Yet as official denials in Washington and Islamabad persist, local media reports suggest constant, and at times heavy, civilian casualties. With the drone war intensifying, public anger in Pakistan is on the rise. Political parties are uniting in opposition to the drones, and public demonstrations against the CIA attacks are becoming more commonplace.

Anti-war protest/Getty Images

Anti-war protesters display an effigy of a drone, March 19 2011. Photo/Getty Images.

While Washington refuses to acknowledge the drone campaign, in anonymous briefings intelligence officials have informed journalists that targeted drone killings are accurate and effective.

A US counter-terrorism official told the Bureau this week that drone strikes are ‘the most precise weapon in the history of warfare’.

Additional reporting David Pegg and Alice Ross.

The Bureau’s major assessment of CIA drone strikes in Pakistan is an ongoing project. If you would like to be kept informed on this issue click here to sign up to our newsletter.

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Casualty Estimates

CIA Drone Strikes in Pakistan 2004–2013

Total US strikes: 368
Obama strikes: 316
Total reported killed: 2,537-3,533
Civilians reported killed: 411-884
Children reported killed: 168-197
Total reported injured: 1,173-1,472

US Covert Action in Yemen 2002–2013

Confirmed US drone strikes: 46-56

Total reported killed: 240-347
Civilians reported killed: 14-49
Children reported killed: 2
Reported injured: 62-144

Possible extra US drone strikes: 78-96

Total reported killed: 275-442
Civilians reported killed: 25-48
Children reported killed: 9-10
Reported injured: 76-98

All other US covert operations: 12-76

Total reported killed: 148-366
Civilians reported killed: 60-87
Children reported killed: 25
Reported injured: 22-111

US Covert Action in Somalia 2007–2013

US drone strikes: 3-9

Total reported killed: 7-27
Civilians reported killed: 0-15
Children reported killed: 0
Reported injured: 2-24

All other US covert operations: 7-14

Total reported killed: 47-143
Civilians reported killed: 7-42
Children reported killed: 1-3
Reported injured: 12-20

The Data

Covert Drone War - the Data
The databases of all known secret war strikes in Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia.

Methodology

The methodology behind the research on US drone attacks.

Drone Infographics

Yemen strikes visualised
July 2, 2012 | by | Comments Off
Bureau Visualisations - Emma Slater

A series of data sets on what the numbers mean.

Pakistan drone statistics visualised
July 2, 2012 | by | 6 Comments
Graph - Joakim Sorthe

Graphs of the Bureau's strike tally and casualty estimates from Pakistan.

Interactive timeline of all recorded CIA drone strikes
August 10, 2011 | by | Comments Off
Timeglider tall image

An interactive timeline of drone strikes in Pakistan between 2004 and the present date.

Interactive map
August 10, 2011 | by | 1 Comment
Globe - Flickr / joelthomas

This map details the locations of CIA drone strikes in the remote Pakistani tribal areas.

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