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Obama risks handing ‘loaded gun’ drone programme to Romney

September 30th, 2012 | by | Published in Bureau Stories, Covert Drone War, Drone War  |  4 Comments

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Obama ‘in thrall to the technological potential of drones’ says Columbia Law School author
(Photo: spirit of America/Shutterstock).

President Obama’s personal involvement in selecting the targets of covert drone strikes means he risks effectively handing a ‘loaded gun’ to Mitt Romney come November, says the co-author of a new report aimed at US policymakers.

‘If Obama leaves, he’s leaving a loaded gun: he’s set up a programme where the greatest constraint is his personal prerogative. There’s no legal oversight, no courtroom that can make [the drone programme] stop. A President Romney could vastly accelerate it,’ said Naureen Shah, associate director of the Counterterrorism and Human Rights Project at the Columbia Law School.

The president ‘personally approves every military target’ in Yemen and Somalia and around a third of targets in Pakistan, the report says. The remainder of strikes in Pakistan are decided by the CIA, so are even further from formal decision-making processes and public scrutiny.

‘We are asking President Obama to put something in writing, to disclose more, because he needs to set up the limitations of the programme before someone else takes control,’ Shah told the Bureau.

In The Civilian Impact of Drones: Unexamined Costs, Unanswered Questions, experts from Columbia Law School and the Center for Civilians in Conflict examine the impact of the US ‘war on terror’ on the lives of civilian Pakistanis, Yemenis and Somalis caught in the crossfire. The report’s publication marks the anniversary of the assassination of US citizen Anwar al-Awlaki by a US drone in Yemen.

We are asking President Obama to put something in writing, to disclose more, because he needs to set up the limitations of the programme before someone else takes control.’
Naureen Shah, Columbia Law School

The report, which Shah said is ‘aimed squarely at policymakers’, calls on the Obama administration to justify its drone campaigns and their targets under international law. It also calls for a task force to examine what measures are in place to protect civilians.

‘The perception is that civilian casualties are not a problem. If you say otherwise, you’re accused of being naïve and being a pawn of al Qaeda… There’s an instinctual dismissal of reporting that shows there’s a casualty problem,’ said Shah.

Deep impact
The report examines how drone strikes have prompted retaliatory attacks from militants on those they believe are US spies, and stirred anti-US sentiment and violence among civilians in Pakistan and Yemen.

In the Waziristan region of Pakistan, the near-constant presence of drones exerts a terrible psychological toll on the civilian population, while the destruction of homes and other property is often catastrophic for Pakistani and Yemeni families.

In Somalia, many have been ‘forced to flee’ their homes in areas where al Qaeda-linked militants al Shabaab have their strongholds, to avoid drone and other air attacks.

The perception is that civilian casualties are not a problem. If you say otherwise, you’re accused of being naïve and being a pawn of al Qaeda, and not having your facts straight.
Naureen Shah

And while the US claims only tiny numbers of civilians are killed by drones, establishing the truth of these claims is difficult. The report compares the Bureau’s estimates of drone deaths in Pakistan to similar projects by the Long War Journal, the New America Foundation and the Pakistan Institute of Peace Studies, noting that they ‘consistently point to significantly higher civilian casualties than those suggested by the US government’s statements’.

But deciding who is a militant and who is a civilian is fraught with difficulty – the very terms ‘civilian’ and ‘militant’ are ‘ambiguous, controversial, and susceptible to manipulation,’ the report says.

The US’s criteria for who is a civilian are ‘deeply problematic’, it adds. In May, a New York Times investigation revealed that all ‘military-aged males’ are held to be militants.

Spy agency turned covert military force
The CIA decides on the targets of Pakistan strikes – but next to nothing is known about its procedures for monitoring whether strikes kill civilians. To this day, the CIA has never officially acknowledged its campaign.

‘We know the US military has set up procedures for tracking and responding to civilian deaths because there’s so much public scrutiny… The CIA has no institutional history of complying with international law or setting up procedures for civilian deaths,’ said Shah. ‘It was a covert spy agency; it wasn’t set up for this. We don’t know how prepared they are to monitor civilian deaths or how concerned they are.’

The CIA is supposed to be accountable to Congress – but lawmakers are failing to scrutinise the impact of the CIA’s drone campaign on civilians, Shah said. Its watchdog role is compromised by the fact that the CIA has been ‘really careful to get political buy-in’, having come under intense criticism from Congress over allegations of torture under President Bush.

‘The strange thing about Congress is they think they are very well informed through briefings from the CIA… The CIA has got them to buy into the drone programme, so there’s no incentive for them to criticise it. If they were to admit there was a problem, Congress would be on the hook as well,’ she continued.

The CIA has no institutional history of complying with international law or setting up procedures for civilian deaths. It was a covert spy agency; it wasn’t set up for this.
Naureen Shah

Lawmakers should look beyond government sources for information on the impact of drone strikes, and scrutinise whether the CIA’s processes for protecting civilians and investigating the aftermath of strikes are up to the task, the report says.

The Obama administration is so in thrall to drones’ technological potential that alternatives are barely considered, Shah said.

‘For policymakers there’s a false sense of limited options: [there’s] a drones-only approach in the situation room… drones are becoming the only game in town and the other tools are being taken off the table. And there’s no thought that a non-lethal approach might have less impact on the community,’ she explained.

‘The focus is so much on the extent to which drones protect American lives that the impact on Pakistani or Somali lives is displaced. There’s so much trust placed in the technology that policymakers especially are failing to consider whether drone strikes are wreaking havoc on these communities.’

Columbia Law School’s Human Rights Institute will publish an additional detailed study of reporting of drone strikes – including an evaluation of the Bureau’s drone data in comparison to similar studies – in the next few weeks.

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Responses

  1. mohsin shah says:

    October 1st, 2012 at 8:20 pm (#)

    Perhaps the United Nations should start thinking about drone warfare. The United States is waging an undeclared war using a new weapon. This weapon is or will soon be available to other parties in conflicts all over the world. Perhaps we need a “Geneva Convention” to decide what is legal when it comes to unmanned lethal weapons.

  2. monalisa says:

    October 2nd, 2012 at 7:37 am (#)

    As long as the United States can do what it wants as long we can clearly say that the United Nations has been put into the pockets of USA.

    Change will only come when other big countries start a warfare with drones and US citizen will be the target by foreign countries as yet civilians are targets on foreign soil.

    Until then the US citizen will have no feeling, no mercy at all for other citizen in foreign countries. Most of them belief their mainstream media and are brainwashed.

    They don’t even see their soldiers as first class murderers
    in territories where the states didn’t even declare war to USA – soldiers are their heroes ….and the Hollywood movie machinerie is doing its job to work into the hands of US political targets.

    As long as the United States is targeting poor countries – which in itself shows the mind of it’s policy makers
    - as long this will go on.

    US citizen don’t think very much of foreign countries because their mainstream media is unisono “reporting” all the same.

    Only a small fraction of its citizen is aware of what is going on. Usually these are the well educated seniors or young students.
    The majority doesn’t know and isn’t interested to know. The working class has often two or three jobs to cover their expenses. So not much time is left. Also the majority of US citizen are couch potatoes in front of their TV’s when they don’t have enough money enabling them to do other activities in their free time.

    USA has become the evil state – targeting any state which it declared as a “threat to USA” !

    Even if a sort of “Geneva Convention” would be formulated – USA isn’t today following the formulated real Geneva Convention which states clearly that a state which is invading any other state which hasn’t declared war is an aggressor. So far, USA is the aggressor state of our times this because murdering citizen in other countries whether by drones or other warfare machines is the same.

    USA will never follow any convention as long as it sees itself in the “Role of the Emperor of our World”.
    And is proud to have the most advanced military machineries on our globe.
    They don’t even care for their own citizen – which shows too of which “material” their politicans are “made”.

    To use the word “terrorists” where in fact people are freedom fighters for their own country invaded by foreign troops is in itself a catastrophe.

    monalisa

  3. sultan hayat says:

    October 9th, 2012 at 4:58 am (#)

    United States is not attacking any sovereign state with drones.In the case of Yemen,the drone attacks are carried out with the approval of the Yemeni government.In Somalia, there is no functioning state.In Pakistan,not the state but non-state actors are being attacked in areas which are not under effective state control.If the Bureau of Investigative Journalism figures are correct(since 2004,there are 880 civilians among a total of 3,300 killed),then the CIA should be commended for killing three militants for every one civilian.No other country in history has produced such a low collateral damage ratio.For historical perspective please refer to bombing of Dresden,London and Tokyo during the second World War.We should not lose sight of the fact that War is inherently nasty.An aseptic War has not yet been invented.

  4. http://rollupawnings.Info says:

    December 21st, 2012 at 1:13 pm (#)

    This specific posting Obama risks handing

Casualty Estimates

CIA Drone Strikes in Pakistan 2004–2013

Total US strikes: 368
Obama strikes: 316
Total reported killed: 2,541-3,533
Civilians reported killed: 411-884
Children reported killed: 168-197
Total reported injured: 1,173-1,472

US Covert Action in Yemen 2002–2013

Confirmed US drone strikes: 45-55

Total reported killed: 236-340
Civilians reported killed: 14-49
Children reported killed: 2
Reported injured: 62-144

Possible extra US drone strikes: 77-95

Total reported killed: 273-438
Civilians reported killed: 25-48
Children reported killed: 9-10
Reported injured: 76-98

All other US covert operations: 12-76

Total reported killed: 148-366
Civilians reported killed: 60-87
Children reported killed: 25
Reported injured: 22-111

US Covert Action in Somalia 2007–2013

US drone strikes: 3-9

Total reported killed: 7-27
Civilians reported killed: 0-15
Children reported killed: 0
Reported injured: 2-24

All other US covert operations: 7-14

Total reported killed: 47-143
Civilians reported killed: 7-42
Children reported killed: 1-3
Reported injured: 12-20

The Data

Covert Drone War - the Data
The databases of all known secret war strikes in Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia.

Methodology

The methodology behind the research on US drone attacks.

Drone Infographics

Yemen strikes visualised
July 2, 2012 | by | Comments Off
Bureau Visualisations - Emma Slater

A series of data sets on what the numbers mean.

Pakistan drone statistics visualised
July 2, 2012 | by | 6 Comments
Graph - Joakim Sorthe

Graphs of the Bureau's strike tally and casualty estimates from Pakistan.

Interactive timeline of all recorded CIA drone strikes
August 10, 2011 | by | Comments Off
Timeglider tall image

An interactive timeline of drone strikes in Pakistan between 2004 and the present date.

Interactive map
August 10, 2011 | by | 1 Comment
Globe - Flickr / joelthomas

This map details the locations of CIA drone strikes in the remote Pakistani tribal areas.

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